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Friday, April 16, 2010

Lou Dobbs considering White House run

I guess if there are people crazy enough to vote for Palin, why would this surprise anyone?

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Lou Dobbs considering White House run: "Media Matters catches Lou Dobbs confirming that he is considering an independent run for the White House:

In an interview to be published in the May 2010 edition of GQ Magazine, Lou Dobbs, the nationally syndicated radio host and former long-time CNN host, confirms he is 'considering' a campaign for President.

From his chat with Jeanne Marie Laskas (emphasis added):

'I never said I'm running for president,' [Dobbs] says.

'You never said you aren't.'

'No, I haven't. I'm not ruling anything out. I don't know what I'm going to do.'

'You're running for president.'

'If you say so.'

'You're considering it.'

'I am.'

'You're talking to Debi about it?'

'I am.'

'And she says?'

'I think that's off the record-'

'But she's not against it-'

'She's probably more open to considering it than she's ever been.'

'Oh, my God, you're running for president.'


A November poll from Democracy Corps tested both Ralph Nader and Lou Dobbs in a four-way general election matchup with Barack Obama and Mitt Romney. Dobbs received 6% of the vote, and Nader 4%. those numbers for Dobbs are likely inflated, as third-party candidates tend to a better in polls than they do in terms of actual votes. For example, in 2000, Nader averaged just over 4% in final trial heat polls, but finished with just under 3% of the vote. Another good example comes from the 2009 New Jersey Governor campaign, where third-party candidate Chris Daggett polled at 10%, but finished with 6%. The equal name recognition third party candidates receive in polls does not reflect the highly unequal name recognition, and GOTV operations, they have in reality.

While it is unlcear if Dobbs could actually have an impact on the campaign by drawing 2% or more of the vote, if he did have an impact on the campaign it would likely be to the benefit of Barack Obama. Not unlike Perot, Dobbs would draw nativist support that would mainly come largely from demographics and ideological groups that lean Republican.

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